Bigmouth Strikes Again: Carrie Marshall's blog

Carrie’s books | Carrie’s band

Author: Carrie

  • Ebooks don’t sell on Saturdays: some tentative conclusions from my online adventures so far

    I sold my 251st copy of Coffin Dodgers this morning, and I thought I’d share some of the things I’ve discovered so far.

    The first and most obvious thing is how important price appears to be: after the initial momentum wears off, sales plummet if you’re pricing at £1.99 (there are other factors – Amazon did a big money-off thing on mainstream Kindle books, which killed sales; this time of year a lot of UK people are away – but I think price was the main thing).

    It looks like 99p is the rate the market expects for an ebook by an unknown author, which is unfortunate: cutting your price to meet that means you drop down to a lower royalty rate (35% instead of 70%). Sell at 99p and your royalty is £0.30 per book; at £1.99 you get £1.19.

    If you’re self-publishing, then, there’s an interesting bet you have to make. At 99p per book, I’d need to sell 3,333 books to make £1,000. At £1.99, I’d only need to sell 840. So do you bet on volume, or margin?

    What happens if you price between the two points? If £1.99 is insanely, ridiculously expensive for an ebook, what about £1.49?

    This is particularly important if, like me, you aren’t flogging a whole bunch of titles simultaneously: I can’t give away Coffin Dodgers in the hope it’ll sell extra copies of Coffin Dodgers 2, because I haven’t written that yet (and might not for a while. I’m working on something else). Pricing at £0.99 has worked in terms of numbers, but would I make slightly more cash from slightly fewer sales if I went for £1.49, which is the lowest price you can set and still get a 70% royalty (about 90p per book)? By pricing at 99p, am I falling into the trap of saying “buy it because it’s cheap” instead of “buy it because it’s good”?

    I’ve no idea. I think I’ll try £1.49 and see what happens.

    A few other observations: Saturday is the worst day for selling ebooks – it’s a real-world shopping day, not an online one – and reviews, recommendations and Facebook links make a huge difference.

    Getting Amazon user reviews is a big help too: something appears to happen when you hit ten reviews, which I suspect is when your book starts appearing in the various “you might also be interested in…” cross-selling things Amazon offers. It’s very annoying that UK reviews don’t automatically appear in the US site – I suspect that’s partly why I’ve sold bugger-all books in the US, although it’s possible that the lack of localisation (using Z instead of S, Center instead of Centre etc) is a factor too.

    As you probably guessed, Kindle is where it’s at. Smashwords is fine as a distributor but (IMO) useless as a retailer, and the sites it does publish to take an eternity to list your titles too. Of my various sales, only ten have come via Smashwords and the services it works with (eight via Smashwords itself and two via Apple’s iBooks). I don’t think I’ve quite scratched the surface of Kindle promotion either: the people who’ve done serious numbers tend to spend serious amounts of time hanging around Kindle boards and similar forums. I’d love to know how they find the time.

    Anything I’ve not covered that you’d like to know? Ask away…

  • Amazon’s “up yours” to Apple

    This is interesting: a cloud-based version of the Kindle app.  I’ve had a quick play with it and it works really well – it’s very fast and good-looking. The help pages say “Kindle Cloud Reader is compatible with PC Windows, or Mac, or Linux computers using the Google Chrome or Safari web browsers, on Linux computers using Google Chrome, and on an iPad using the Safari web browser.”

    That’s one way around Apple’s ban on in-app purchases.

  • How much do books actually cost to produce?

    There’s an interesting post on The Guardian books blog today: The true price of publishing.

    Most people instinctively feel that ebooks should be substantially cheaper than paper books, because an ebook is not physically “made”: there are no printing costs. But if, says Levine, the real value of a book resides in the “text itself”, then the delivery method shouldn’t much matter. The fixed costs – acquiring, editing, marketing – remain unchanged.

    That’s a tough argument to get across, I think, because Amazon in particular has been very aggressive with ebook pricing. Because ebooks are cheap, Joe and Jane Public expect future ebooks to be cheap too. They neither know nor care that VAT wipes out most of the production cost difference (VAT is levied on ebooks but not printed ones).

    Aggressive pricing isn’t new, of course. Amazon has been doing it with print for ages – when did you last pay the RRP for *anything* on Amazon? – and supermarkets often use books as loss-leaders. In most cases the winners aren’t the publishers or the authors; they’re Amazon, and the supermarkets. You don’t really have a business without them, but their demands for discounts mean that it’s not much of a business with them.

    This is something I want to come back to when I have a bit of time to do the subject justice: I think the aggressive pricing of ebooks by name authors with backlists to shift, and the rush to undercut their prices by almost every new ebook author out there, could be a form of collective career suicide. Once something’s devalued, it’s hard to change people’s perspectives of what constitutes fair pricing. Just ask the developers getting slagged on iTunes for daring to charge more than 79p for their apps.

    According to The Times, most books don’t sell:

    Last month [in 2008] Nielsen Bookscan, which tracks book sales nationwide, showing that, of 200,000 books on sale last year, 190,000 titles sold fewer than 3,500 copies. More devastating still, of 85,933 new books, as many as 58,325 sold an average of just 18 copies. And things aren’t much better over the pond: I read recently that, of the 1.2million titles sold in the United States in 2004, only 2 per cent sold more than 5,000 copies.

    If the public comes to expect professional cover design, production and editing at amateur-hour prices, I suspect there’s going to be precious little profit for the overwhelming majority of ebook authors. Even if you do 3,500 copies, if you’re doing them on the Kindle store at 99p a pop then your entire take is £1,050 before tax.

    Most writers will be lucky to do one tenth of those sales: in 2007, the Guardian reported that “the average sale of a hardback book by a first-time writer is 400 copies”. That’s £120 in Kindle money. If you’re doing things the DIY way and paying for a cover designer and an editor, you’re going to make a significant loss.

    I’m not arguing that nobody can make money from ebooks. Of course they can. Some are shifting tens of thousands of books, and making tidy sums out of it. But it’s important to remember that they’re the exceptions.

    I’ll come back to this soon, I’m sure.

  • iPad web browsing – any advice?

    A while back, I wrote that iCab mobile was one of the best browsers on iOS – and it was. It isn’t any more. I don’t know if it’s iCab or iOS, both of which have been updated since I first started using it, but it’s become borderline unusable: desperately slow, refusing to let me enter text into some sites’ form fields, crashing very frequently and so on. Anyone know why, or know of a decent alternative I can use until iOS 5 turns up? I’ve tried Opera and a few others, but sites such as Facebook think they’re phone browsers and bounce me to the crappy mobile versions of their pages.

  • A very short review of Let’s Get Digital by David Gaughran

    I feel a little bit bad about the slagging I gave John Locke’s how-to manual, so I thought I’d redress the balance a little bit by mentioning Let’s Get Digital. If you’re looking for a manual on e-publishing, spend your money on Gaughran’s book, not Locke’s: Gaughran makes it abundantly clear that the work starts when you finish the book, and the book is stuffed with useful links and practical advice. Some of the case studies are interesting too.

    If you’re too skint or too tight to pay the £1.71 Gaughran is asking on Amazon, he’s giving a PDF version away for free. Which is awfully nice of him.

  • It was a dark and stormy night

    This year’s Bulwer-Lytton contest winners have been announced. This one is my favourite:

    As the dark and mysterious stranger approached, Angela bit her lip anxiously, hoping with every nerve, cell, and fiber of her being that this would be the one man who would understand—who would take her away from all this—and who would not just squeeze her boob and make a loud honking noise, as all the others had.

  • Alan Sugar’s nervous breakdown

    It’s far too long, but this is still a great illustration of how you can tell any story you like on TV with careful editing. It’s the UK version of The Apprentice, re-edited and subtitled to tell the story of Lord Sugar’s mental problems.

    [via b3ta]

  • A (Glasgow) fair price

    If you haven’t been tempted by my novel Coffin Dodgers so far, allow me to introduce my Super Awesome Holiday Promotion: to celebrate Glasgow Fair, when everybody in Glasgow traditionally takes a fortnight off work and goes to Rothesay, I’m slashing – slashing! – the price of Coffin Dodgers for a wee bit. It’s short, sharp and just the thing to read on the Rothesay ferry as the smell of chips wafts across the sea. Links are on the cunningly titled Coffin Dodgers page, which is linked at the top of this page.

  • The magic of MetaFilter

    It’s MetaFilter’s anniversary today, so here’s something I wrote about it on its tenth birthday, two years ago.

    Remember the song Stuck In The Middle With You and the line about “clowns to the left of me, jokers to the right”? That’s a pretty good description of the Internet. When you spend as much time online as we do it’s hard to believe that the Internet isn’t entirely populated by loons, goons, spammers, scammers and people who shouldn’t be given crayons, let alone an Internet connection.

    Thank God, then, for MetaFilter.com.

    MetaFilter is ten today. That means it’s spent ten years being our happy place, the site we go to when the sheer idiocy of most of the online world gets us down. MetaFilter members – MeFites – consistently rise to the challenge of posting things that are “interesting or enlightening”, and peer pressure of the best kind – that is, pressure to make posts as interesting as possible – means that every day, it’s a banquet for the brain. As I write this, the front page topics include terrible library books, Ireland’s new blasphemy law, various important political stories, some daft Flash stuff and proof that cats really are messing with us.

    What makes MetaFilter really special, though, is the discussions – the comments on posts, and the free-for-all conversations on Ask MetaFilter. Where other sites often revolve around people spouting off about things they barely understand, MeFi discussions tend to be much better informed. That’s partly because the kind of people who hang around MeFi aren’t post-first think-later blowhards, and it’s partly because MeFites appear to have infiltrated everything interesting on the planet. If the thread’s about newspaper scandals, you’ll find newspaper people sharing their insight. Science? Scientists. Bad sound on CDs? Professional sound engineers. Religion? We’re pretty sure that God’s been a member for years. The stuff that ruins other community sites, such as endless posts about nothing in particular, sock puppetry, astroturfing, trolling and so on, simply doesn’t happen.

    As founder Matt Haughey writes in the site guidelines, “I trust that you’ll act in a civilized manner, that you’ll treat others with opposing viewpoints with absolute respect and that you’ll contribute in a positive way to the intelligent discussions that take place here every day.” On any other website, people would read that bit, ignore it and start pimping products or throwing verbal rocks at the other members. On MetaFilter, people try to live up to it – and they’ve been doing it for a decade. That means MetaFilter isn’t just a website: it’s a miracle.

  • Ray Banks on ebook piracy

    This is interesting. Ray Banks – who is good – talks about ebooks with Allan Guthrie – who is also good – and the conversation turns to book piracy. Banks:

    Authors should be pleased they’re being pirated. I know I was. Over the last twenty years or so, branding has shifted from publisher to author, so when someone illegally downloads and enjoys your book, they’re going to remember you, not your publisher. Plus, it means there’s a demand for your books not currently being met. As for publishers, especially those spending bucketloads of money to play Canute, why can’t they harness the potential of the torrent to their own ends? After all, these are people who like to read so much, they’re willing to go to that extra length to get free copies. That’s word of mouth right there, and I’d much rather see a thousand copies of my book go for free to people who wanted it than see another ARC show up on eBay. Also, P2P networks still represent a no-maintenance, utterly free and worldwide channel of distribution. Most companies would kill for that kind of reach with that little overhead.

    I’d just add two things to that. One, many of the ebook pirates I’ve seen are collectors – not in the sense of collecting something and valuing it, but in the sense of wanting to have something just for the sake of having it. It’s the volume that matters, not the content, so for example you’ll see torrents promising X hundred Kindle books and those books have *absolutely nothing in common with one another*. It’s very unlikely that you’ll like Ray Banks and bodice rippers (it’s possible, but unlikely), so I’m not sure that there’s any benefit to authors from that particular kind of piracy.

    The other point I’d add is that many apparently pirated books are no such thing: many pirate sites are frauds, listing books they don’t have in the hope you’ll pay for membership.

    For what it’s worth I’m not hugely bothered by the idea of piracy, unless somebody’s making money from it. I’ve specified DRM-no and Lending-yes options for my own stuff.